Seeking Truth From Facts: Weeks Where Decades Happen — Manifold #95
This episode is a co-release with the Seeking Truth From Facts podcast: https://substack.com/@seekingtruthfromfacts
The theme of this episode derives from Lenin:
“There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks when decades happen.” ― Vladimir Ilyich Lenin
Steve and Alf discuss:
(00:00) - Introduction
(01:32) - China Victory Day Parade and new military technology
(12:27) - The SCO summit and its implications
(20:24) - Modi’s presence and the prospect of a Sino-Indian rapprochement
(25:00) - Trump’s South Asian blunder?
(32:14) - The Alaska Summit and the chances of peace
(40:01) - Israel’s loss of popular support on both the left and the right
(46:12) - Bipolarity or multipolarity?
Audio-only version and Transcript:
https://www.manifold1.com/episodes/seeking-truth-from-facts-weeks-where-decades-happen


The Lenin quote is in fact by British politician and Islamo-Stalinist George Galloway. Lenin said something vaguely similar but gorgeous George punched in up a bit in an article complaining about the invasion of Afghanistan in October 2001.
Is there some sort of law around the best quotes on WikiQuote being under the ‘misattributed’ section?
Steve, America spends a great deal of money each year on mental disorders especially schizophrenia. I am wondering what the surface looks like that defines the polygenic schizophrenia risk for offspring with polygenic schizophrenia risk on the x-axis for an asymptomatic (symptomatic) parent from a high risk family pedigree and with the polygenic schizophrenia risk on the y-axis for a non-affected parent with no schizophrenia family history potential mate.
For example, what would be the polygenic risk of schizophrenia for a child who had parents with 90th percentile risk and 25th percentile risk?