US-PRC Tech War: DeepSeek AI and 6th Generation Fighters — Manifold #78
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(00:00) - Introduction: AI, Miltech, and Balance of Power
(00:32) - DeepSeek AI R1 model
(02:36) - DeepSeek: top performance, 30x efficient compute
(10:37) - DeepSeek technical innovations
(15:38) - The AI Race: U.S. vs. China
(34:20) - Fighter Jets and Military Technology
(42:54) - Fifth to Sixth Generation Fighter Programs
(46:13) - Technology of China's 6th Generation Planes
(52:20) - Chinese Sixth Generation Aircraft Capabilities
(01:00:50) - Strategic Implications for the U.S. and Future Developments
(01:27:48) - Disabling Military Bases
(01:31:17) - Implications for the U.S. and China
(01:35:26) - Future Defense Strategies and Realities
Audio-only version and transcript:
https://www.manifold1.com/episodes/us-prc-tech-war-deepseek-ai-and-6th-generation-fighters-78
Trying to replicate the Houthi strategy in the SCS with US IRBMs on allied territories fundamentally misunderstands the motivations of the actors involved. Houthis have nothing to lose to American bombs and are in it for the love of the game. Japan and even the Philippines have much more to lose and no counter-escalation potential beyond the missiles America has already given them in this hypothetical scenario.
Relevant to discussion of deterrence in the Pacific: Caspian Report - Why the US military is restoring WWII-era airfields https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PVwt01b6fs